Your complete guide to where you can watch all the Oscar movies this weekend.

What is a pity is that every year there are Oscar nominated movies that don't come here till after the oscars. For instance, "Loving", story of an interracial couple who break the law by marrying (I think in the 50s - unbelievable that is recent!) isn't on yet. It has Aussie actor Joel edgerton in it. The woman playing his black wife I think is called Ruth Negga. Looked like a good movie to me, but unfortunately it won't be out here in time, also a pity because even though I haven't seen it I think she will win best actress. Having watched a lot of oscars there is so much politics that go into it, and I'm positive they will want to give a major prize to someone black because of the furore, by the way this doesn't mean there aren't people black deserving of this honor but the problem they've got is that they can't give it to denzel because he has already won an oscar (and in typical oscar fashion he won for a rubbish movie because he was overdue am oscar and because he should have won many years ago for Malcolm X and was a travesty at the time that he didn't).

Fences can't win best picture bevause it is terrible and is really only nominated due to PC correctness and denzel being in it.

Moonlight is promising and I personally found it quite touching but suffers from a number of flaws so I don't think it should win. For instance at least half of the movie we couldn't figure out what they were saying which is a pity because there were some really heart wrenching scenes and a really touching love story (not conventional love story but I don't want to give a spoiler here). Couple of other flaws too, a real pity because I think a few corrections could have made it a much better film. Having said all of that maybe Americans will understand what they are saying (a lot of mumbling and gansta style talk)

This leaves Hidden Figures, the only truly "oscar" feel type movie, it is extremely good, but personally I didn't think as good as some of the other best picture films, but having said that someone in my circle who is not a PC type person thought it was the best, which is high praise considering that person cried through Lion (as did I, and I still think Lion is better).

The three women in hidden figures were all very good but none of them had enough screen time, or indeed enough "drama" to be nominated for best actress (though one was nominated for best supporting actress).

Possibly Viola Davis could win best supporting actress for Fences bevause she was great (terrible movie but great performances), but I think she has won before? In any case already a few black actresses have won best supporting actress, so to shake off the racist tag they will have to give out a bigger award for someone black, so either Ruth Negga will win best actress or (very long shot) Hidden Figures may win best picture.

Ruth Negga benefits from a weak field. Firstly Meryl Streep is great as usual but she can't win another oscar and in any case I think the Florence foster Jenkins role was a bit of fun but I doth think she should win for it. I adored La La Land (yes I know this ones polarising) but can't see Emma Stone winning for a musical. I can't even remember who are the other best actress nominees are which means either they didn't stand out or I didn't see the movies!

So Ruth Negga probably has the best actress in the bag.

On the other hand the academy can't be seen to be going too "black" otherwise they will upset the white supremicists, so whilst Viola Davies in my view would be well deserving of a best supporting actress they can't have two black people win major awards.

See it is all very political. I must say though I personally am not a fan of Nicole Kidman but would equally say that she would be well deserving of a best supporting actress award.

La la Land will win best picture (ok I will eat my words if I'm wrong), though not for political reasons, but bevause it will be the movie that most touches the people in the movie industry because it is about their lives. It was without a doubt my favourite film but because I am very interested in the film industry so I could relate to it (in a minor way though I'm not a movie star!), that is why I also understand why many people do not get it, because it's not their dream. Imagine if you had a movie all about someone's dream to become a - I don't know - a dentist! Well everyone else would think what the...! But show it to a group of dentists or people who want to become dentists and of course it would be there favourite film. That is why La La Land is so polarising because if you are in that industry or dream of being in that industry it will be your favourite film, whereas if you aren't you will think well that was a pleasant please of fluff but not best picture material.

Interesting about Casey Affleck, I had no idea of his background, so I wonder if that means he can't win the big prize but also it's a weak best actor field this year and I think he is probably most deserving, so maybe he will get it.

If La La Land doesn't win best picture then my money is on Lion (fantastic film), but then again it's is not a truly Hollywood film (seems partly maybe wholly Aussie funded?) and they don't like giving none Hollywood movies best picture, but I think it has to be up for a major prize, maybe Best director? Usually best picture gets best director but sometimes they split it.

The politics extends to people getting awards from mediocre roles because they were robbed of winning one year for an outstanding performance - case in point being the aforementioned denzel who should have won for Malcolm X but as he was overlooked ended up winning years later for a mediocre movie. It has happened to numerous actors/actresses.

Having said all these cynical things about Hollywood when there is a truly blow it out of the park performance or movie they usually do give it it's due, because some things are to the point that they can't ignore it.

I am about to see Hacksaw Ridge and have been told that's great.

Hell or High Water is excellent, as mentioned you can rent it now. Even though it is nothing about Trump it gives you an insight into how difficult things are for small town Americans so I feel that in some ways makes you understand why some of them would have voted trump. I hope it gains a major prize, not sure what though, it is a very clever movie so maybe best screenplay. It is purposely low key though it doesn't give you the emotional drama that Oscar likes, unlike Lion, La La Land and to a slightly lesser extent Hidden Figures. Highly emotional films (good or sad) give you a good feeling of emotional release which is why they will win over movies that are just as good such as Hell or High Water, because the latter's low key feeling makes you feel mildly depressed which is perfect for what the director is trying to convey but not going to make you like it as much as the other movies and therefore won't get an oscar.

Have not seen Arrival, does not appeal to me, though I guess to be fair I should see it but won't!

I liked Manchester by the Sea but others in my circle found it slow, I kind of get where they are coming from but I still liked it. Another low key film, leaves you feeling mildly depressed which matches the mood they are trying to convey but for that reason won't win best picture.

So that's my ramblings I guess we will wait and see if I'm right.